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Last call for the ultimate Pinehurst trip

PGA Championship betting guide: 13 picks our expert loves at Oak Hill

Our expert likes Xander Schauffele's chances this week.

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Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour gambling-tips column, featuring picks from GOLF.com’s expert prognosticator, Brady Kannon. A seasoned golf bettor and commentator, Kannon is the host of the HeatStrokes  podcast.  You can follow him on Twitter at  @LasVegasGolfer , and you can read below to see his favorite plays for the PGA Championship, which kicks off Thursday at Oak Hill in Pittsford, N.Y. Keep scrolling past Kannon’s picks, and you’ll also see data from Chirp,  a free-to-play mobile platform  that features a range of games with enticing prizes, giving fans all kinds of ways to engage in the action without risking any money.

Golf’s second major championship of the season is upon us. The 105 th   PGA Championship will take place at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, NY., the host course to six major championships since it opened for play in 1926.

Oak Hill is a Donald Ross design. It last hosted a major in 2013, when Jason Dufner won the PGA Championship, going off at about 40-1. As we have seen on Tour for the past three weeks now, Oak Hill, too, is a big, long, golf course, suited to bombers. It will play as a par-70, at just under 7,400 yards.

When Dufner won in 2013, he did it by driving the ball very straight, finding the tree-lined fairways. The Oak Hill the players will face this year will be substantially different. More than 600 trees were removed in 2019, as part of a restoration by the architect Andrew Green.. The fairways remain narrow, about 27 yards wide on average, but with the tree removal, more room has been created for second shots through the limbs.

The rough will be thick. Not necessarily overly long but dense and wet with this championship being played in May. It was not that long ago that there was snow in this part of the country. The greens have all been redone. Green was assigned the task of trying to revitalize some of the original styles and design intentions of Donald Ross . The greens are on the Ross-like smaller side and will have the traditional Ross run-off areas. All of the bunkers were remodeled and will be very penal with steep faces and deep wells, both around the greens and in the fairways.

Why this long shot is primed for his first major win: 2023 PGA Championship odds

Many of the statistics that I have looked at over the past few weeks, in Mexico, at Quail Hollow, and last week at the Byron Nelson, apply this week. Off the tee, I considered Total Driving, Driving Distance, and Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. On approach, I looked at Greens in Regulation Gained and Strokes Gained: Approach. I also looked at Hole Proximity from 175 – 200 yards and from 200+. Note that this course features 12 Par 4’s of over 460 yards, two Par 3’s stretching to 230 yards, and two Par 5’s that are both over 600 yards.

Around the greens, I looked at Scrambling, Sand Saves, Bogey Avoidance, and Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass).

Three tournaments on the PGA Tour are held on Donald Ross designs: the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club, the Tour Championship at East Lake, and the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club. I don’t feel like any of these are especially similar to Oak Hill, but there is enough there with a common course designer to at least consider them among the correlated courses this week. The others that I believe have greater similarities are Muirfield Village, home to the Memorial; Bethpage Black, which hosted the 2019 PGA Championship; Torrey Pines, host of the Farmers Insurance Open and the 2021 U.S. Open site, Winged Foot, home to the U.S. Open in 2020; Harding Park, which hosted the 2020 PGA Championship; and Whistling Straits, host of the 2015 PGA Championship. Finally, I also looked at Aronimink, another Donald Ross design in the northeast that played host to the 2018 BMW Championship as a part of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

We got back on the beam last week, hitting Jason Day outright . We also went 3-1-1 in our head-to-head matchups. Let’s see if we can continue that trend in a major.

To Win the PGA Championship (and finish Top 10)

Xander schauffele (23-1).

Schauffle has been a Top 10-machine in majors, and he’s been dominant at East Lake with finishes of 1-7-2-2-5-4. He was 16 th  at Bethpage in 2019, 10 th  at Harding Park in 2020, fifth at Winged Foot in 2020, and seventh at the U.S. Open at Torrey Pines in 2021. He’s also been red-hot as of late. His last six starts go as follows, 2-4-4-10-5-19. Schauffele is fifth on Tour in SG Approach, 12 th  in Hole Proximity from 175-200, 27 th  in Scrambling, and 14 th  in Bogey Avoidance. He looks primed to seriously contend once again.

Tony Finau (33-1)

I grabbed this number on Finau after 36-holes were complete in Mexico. I felt that he was going to go on to win, so I jumped on the price before it was chopped. He is much like Schauffele in the sense that he has contended a number of times at major championships and at the correlated courses. In fact, he won at a Ross design last summer, winning the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club. He tops the board in my stats this week with what he does off the tee, his touch around the greens, plus the fact that he is No. 1 on Tour in SG Approach.

To Win the PGA Championship Outright (and finish Top 20)

Brooks koepka (23-1).

What has long been said about Koepka only truly caring about the majors  was never more evident than it was last month when he led the Masters for the first three days, ultimately finishing runner-up. He has four majors to his credit along with nine Top 10 finishes in majors since 2014. He’s won twice on the LIV Tour and comes off of a third and fifth place finish in his last two LIV events, closing with two straight rounds of 65 last week. In those last two events, he was fifth and seventh in Total Driving and 8th each week for Greens in Regulation. As far as the correlated courses, he was fifth at Whistling Straits in 2015, fourth at the U.S. Open in 2021, and won the Wanamaker Trophy at Bethpage Black in 2019. He also has Top 6 finishes at both East Lake at Sedgefield. When healthy, Brooks remains a force in major championships.

Collin Morikawa (25-1)

Morikawa missed the cut in his last start at Quail Hollow and also in the team event, the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. Two weeks before that, he finished 10th at The Masters. I feel like the time away will be good for him to regroup and focus on capturing his second PGA Championship. While he does not drive the ball like some of the true bombers, he does average nearly 300 yards off the tee and also gets his distance more so with carry than with run-out, which I believe is important this week with the moist, softer conditions. He also happens to be third on Tour in Driving Accuracy. If he can find himself in the short grass all week, he will have found his wheelhouse. Over the last 36 rounds, he ranks fifth in Hole Proximity from 175-200 yards and 23rd from 200-yards or greater. He’s third in SG Approach and fifth in SG Ball Striking. Morikawa has finished as high as sixth at East Lake and took fourth at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. He won at Muirfield Village when they played the Workday there in 2020. If he is hitting fairways and greens, he’s going to be in the mix. Over the last eight tournaments, for both the PGA and DP World Tours, Morikawa is 18th in this field for SG Tee to Green.

Viktor Hovland (30-1)

10 2023 PGA Championship best bets, according to a longtime pro caddie 

Like Morikawa, Hovland has cooled off in his past couple of starts since finishing seventh at the Masters but his driving and ball striking are so good, it makes him an excellent fit for this golf course. He is fourth on Tour in Total Driving. He is 21st in SG Approach over the last 36 rounds, 12th in Ball Striking, and ranks 11th on Par 4’s measuring between 450-500 yards. He’s finished fifth at East Lake, fourth at the Wyndham, and has two Top 15 finishes at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He took 13th at Winged Foot in 2020 and finished runner-up at the Farmers Insurance Open in 2021. Over the last eight rounds on both the PGA and DP World Tours, Hovland is second in this field for SG Off the Tee. I feel like this week, he is going to contend in a major once again.

Rickie Fowler (100-1)

When I started researching this golf course about a month ago and who might be a good fit, I was surprised to see how well Rickie ranks statistically. He is 31 st  on Tour in Total Driving. Over the last 36 rounds, he ranks 17 th  for SG Ball Striking, seventh for SG Approach, 13 th  in Bogey Avoidance, 22 nd  in Scrambling, 39 th  in Hole Proximity from 175-200, and 39 th  in SG Putting (Bent grass). He’s finished runner-up twice at the Memorial, was eighth at Aronimink in 2018, and it would be incredible to see Rickie win a major. With the way he’s playing, I think he has a good shot — better than 100-1 anyway.

Russell Henley (125-1)

Here is another guy who I believe has a better shot than what his price is indicating. Henley is not a long hitter but is No.1 on Tour in Driving Accuracy. Augusta National caters to longer hitters but Henley just finished fourth there last month. Like Morikawa, if he is hitting from the short grass all week, he could make a run again for the second straight time in a major. It wasn’t only The Masters either as Henley has three Top 20’s and a Top 5 finish in his last four starts. Over the last eight events on both the PGA and DP World Tours, Henley ranks ninth in this field for SG Approach, 18 th  for SG Around the Green, fifth for SG Tee to Green, second in SG Putting, and second for SG Total. Pretty impressive.

Gary Woodland (150-1)

In finishing 14th at the Wells Fargo three weeks ago, Woodland led the field in SG Tee to Green. The week prior, he was 3rd tee to green in the field in Mexico. Woodland has been playing very well and with his length off the tee and long iron game, he makes a great deal of sense for this golf course. The problem is the short game as he ranks 131 st  in Scrambling and 109 th  in SG Putting (Bent grass) over the last 36 rounds. Still, 150-1 seems too long of a price for me. He finished eighth at Bethpage in 2019, 12 th  at Aronimink in 2018, and has two Top 10 finishes at the Memorial.

Full Tournament Head to Head Matchups (26-19-3 YTD)

Jason Day (-115) over Dustin Johnson

Collin Morikawa (-140) over Max Homa

Rickie Fowler (-120) over Tom Kim

Russell Henley (-125) over Mito Pereira

Taylor Moore (-130) over Tom Hoge

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PGA Championship Odds and Betting Preview

The PGA Championship starts this Thursday. Golf expert Matt MacKay breaks down the odds this week and shares his best bets for the 2023 PGA Championship.

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It’s time for the second major of the 2023 PGA Tour season! Oak Hill Country Club is the site for this event, located in Rochester, New York. The last time we saw the PGA Championship played at Oak Hill CC came back in 2013 when Jason Dufner recorded a monstrous -7-under-par second round to climb up the leaderboard early and hold onto the lead for the final two rounds. Rory McIlroy , Adam Scott , Jason Day , and Dustin Johnson were some notable names who managed a T10 finish here a decade ago, so it will be interesting to see how well each of these golfers performs throughout the week.

As it goes with nearly all PGA Tour majors, birdies will be much harder to come by compared to recently played events like the AT&T Byron Nelson, Wells Fargo Championship, and Mexico Open at Vidanta. A big reason for minimal red scorecards can be attributed to the numerous par 4 holes that tup well over 400 yards, opening with back-to-back par 4s on the front nine while closing out the back nine with three more par 4s that all exceed 460 yards. Distance and accuracy will be premium skills to possess off the tee and approach the green. Bentgrass greens mean putting surfaces will run fast, while the square footage of these greens is on the smaller side, flanked by relocated white sand bunkers and undulations surrounding the greens.  

The field is loaded with talent, just like every major, led by Jon Rahm at 7/1 and Scottie Scheffler close behind at +750. Let’s look at the outright betting odds, course layout, and players who possess the skill and form to raise the Wanamaker Trophy at the 2023 PGA Championship during the second of four majors scheduled on the PGA Tour. 

Before we get into our picks for PGA Championship, make sure to take a moment to check out these awesome sports betting offers for this week. You can use one of the HUGE first bet offers to wager with more confidence on your 2023 PGA Championship selections this week.

PGA Championship Betting Odds

2023 pga championship betting preview.

Previous Winners

• 2022 - Justin Thomas (-5)
• 2021 - Phil Mickelson (-6)
• 2020 - Collin Morikawa (-13)
• 2019 - Brooks Koepka (-8)
• 2018 - Brooks Koepka (-16)

Relevant Betting Stats

• Greens in Regulation percentage
• Strokes Gained Off-the-Tee
• Sand Save percentage
• Strokes Gained Putting

Course Layout

Oak Hill Country Club East Course is a par 70 that tips just south of 7,400 yards. Designed by Donald Ross, the course underwent updates in 2020, adding exclusively Bentgrass greens and bunker relocations, while also incorporating a new drainage system and reducing the number of trees on the property. Oak Hill CC last hosted the PGA Championship in 2013, meaning golfers who have prior experience here like Rory McIlroy and Adam Scott could be facing several new elements that will force them to adapt during the first couple of rounds. 

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Only one par 5 exists on the front nine and back nine, with four par 3s evenly distributed, creating challenging conditions to maintain a red scorecard. Players will face five consecutive par 4s from Hole 6 - Hole 10 while closing out with three consecutive par 4s on the back nine. The fairways are more open than we've seen in recent events, but the greens are on the smaller side, so players who can find greens in regulation or scramble consistently will climb the leaderboard. While there are a limited number of water hazards to navigate, doglegged fairways and small Bentgrass greens will demand precision all weekend.

Top Players To Bet For Outright PGA Championship Winner

Jon Rahm (+750) (Bet $100 to collect $850) FanDuel has the best Jon Rahm odds

This isn’t a surprising pick, in fact, it is considered a chalky investment to back Jon Rahm . Even with all of the labels you can put on betting the outright favorite, Rahm has hardly any flaws in his game this season. Whether it’s his driver, irons, or putter, the 28-year-old Spaniard seems to have no trouble producing red on his scorecard. He’s battled through adversity, too, getting off to sluggish starts or a poor round in the middle of an event, only to wind up storming back with four outright wins and eight T10 finishes in 12 events this year. Rahm went out quietly at Southern Hills during the 2022 PGA Championship, but I expect a vastly improved result in 2023. Hop on 7/1 odds now before they shorten in the coming days.

Brooks Koepka (+2100) (Bet $100 to collect $2,200) Go to FanDuel for the best Brooks Koepka odds 

We could wind up seeing Brooks Koepka battling Jon Rahm for the outright win, just like we saw during the first major at The Masters a month ago. The LIV golfer has won two of the previous five PGA Championship events, winning consecutively in 2018 and 2019. Back and knee injuries have hampered Koepka, but he’s still one of the best drivers of the golf ball in the game. If he can sink a few more putts on the Bentgrass surface, which wound up being a huge obstacle down the stretch at Augusta National, then Koepka will return huge value at 20/1 odds, which is essentially 3x value we’re landing betting on Rahm.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+3300) Bet $100 to collect $3,400 Head to BetMGM for the best Matthew Fitzpatrick odds

I don’t often back Matthew Fitzpatrick, but his game is built for a course like Oak Hill. The 28-year-old Englishman just beat Jordan Spieth during a multi-hole playoff at RBC Heritage, and he earned his first career win during the U.S. Open last year, so Fitzpatrick is rounding into form nicely ahead of the 2023 PGA Championship. He logged a T5 finish at Southern Hills last year and could be in store for another strong finish this time, ranking 21st in total strokes gained, including 23rd putting and 24th in total driving, which combines accuracy and distance. Fitzpatrick is also a top-20 scrambler, which will be a massive asset to lean on during the rigors of Oak Hill. I love the value we’re getting at 28/1 for Fitzpatrick’s outright odds this week, so don’t hesitate to lay a unit accordingly. 

Sam Burns (+4600) (Bet $100 to collect $4,700) For the best Sam Burns odds go to FanDuel

Sam Burns is a highly volatile player who can be frustrating to bet on because he looks untouchable when he’s dialed in. Last year, the 26-year-old Louisiana native logged a T20 finish at Southern Hills and had finishes of sixth, T29, and T15 until missing the cut at Wells Fargo Championship a couple of weeks ago. Burns is ranked fifth in strokes gained putting, which will come in handy on the Bentgrass surfaces, while he ranks 21st in total driving. Around the green and par 3 holes tend to be obstacles for Burns, but he is ranked 57th in scrambling, which is good enough to overcome errant approach shots. It’s 50/1 for a reason, but I like the strengths Burns possesses and acknowledge that if he can gain momentum early, he’ll be a riser up the leaderboard once the cut line is enforced and the field is whittled in half on Saturday. It helps that he converts 36.7 percent of his birdie attempts, which is eighth-best on the PGA Tour, while also ranking fifth in one-putt percentage. A slow start typically eliminates Burns from contention, but at a course where birdies will be fleeting, Burns has a chance to gain the edge with his powerful driver and accurate putting. 

Matt MacKay is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game from a fantasy sports and sports betting perspective. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly aiming to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.

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2023 PGA Championship: Expert picks and betting tips

The 2023 PGA Championship begins Wednesday from Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York. World No. 1 Jon Rahm and World No. 2 Scottie Scheffler top the list of notable golfers who are primed to capture the Wanamaker Trophy at the end of this weekend. Scheffler enters the second major of the year on a hot streak, with a strong finish in the AT&T Byron Nelson and two victories (Phoenix Open and Players Championship).

Can Scheffler keep his torrid pace going or with the Rahm become the first man to win the first two major championships of a season since Jordan Spieth ?

Where is the betting value? Will the favorites prevail? Our golf and betting experts break down everything thing you need to know to bet the 2023 PGA Championship.

Jump to a section: Experts' picks to win | Betting value picks to win | Notable golfers odds | Props and more

Expert picks

Matt Barrie, ESPN Winner: Brooks Koepka : He's healthy and confident. His performance at the Masters showed us he's ready to be among the best in the world again.

Tory Barron, ESPN.com Winner: Brooks Koepka : Remember the scene in "Billy Madison" when Adam Sandler's character catches a dodgeball and tells the rest of the class, "now you're all in big, big trouble?" That's the energy I expect a healthy "Big-game Brooks" to carry into the PGA Championship -- an event he has won twice before -- fresh off his second-place finish in Augusta.

Elizabeth Baugh, ESPN.com Winner: Rory McIlroy : There's much talk about the toll the game has taken on McIlroy, but the fact is, he can't be counted out. Oak Hill is a course he's familiar with and it's suited to his game (he'll need that distance off the tee). The weather others are concerned about won't be an issue for him.

Michael Collins , ESPN Winner: Jon Rahm : Have we not seen this movie before? McIlroy, Jordan Spieth , Jason Day , Dustin Johnson , Koepka ... all of them have gone through a stretch where they looked unbeatable. Rahm is in that mode right now. And winning the first two legs of the Grand Slam would light the fuse of the golf world.

Michael Eaves, ESPN Winner: Tony Finau : In the shadows of Rahm and Scottie Scheffler , Finau has quietly put together a solid start to the season. And more importantly, he's got the game and now the confidence to finally breakthrough for his first major championship.

Peter Lawrence-Riddell, ESPN.com Winner: Tony Finau : He seems like the favorite for "first-time major winner" heading into Oak Hill. Has won twice on tour this year and finished in the top 25 in 11 of 14 events played. Plus, seeing him with his family on Sunday would be really cool.

Andy North Winner: Xander Schauffele : He's playing well. Now is the time for his major win!

Mark Schlabach Winner: Xander Schauffele : Sooner or later, Schauffele is going to win a major, so why not this week? He tied for 10th at the Masters, his 16th top-25 finish in 23 starts in majors. He leads the tour in approach shots from 150 yards to 175 yards, which is going to be important at Oak Hill, and he's in the top 10 in shots gained: approach to green (0.961), tee to green (1.510) and total (2.065). He finished in the top 10 in his past four starts in stroke-play events, including a runner-up at the Wells Fargo Championship, so he has plenty of momentum.

Curtis Strange , ESPN Winner: Scottie Scheffler : Short game will be a deciding factor in this tournament, and he's No. 1 in world in strokes gained off the tee.

Paolo Uggetti, ESPN.com Winner: Tony Finau : It's finally time. Finau has always had the game and talent of a major winner, but he's fallen short numerous times. He has shed the notion that he can't win by claiming four PGA Tour events over the last two seasons. If it will happen anytime soon, the PGA Championship at Oak Hill feels like the place for it.

Scott Van Pelt, ESPN Winner: Scottie Scheffler : It was shocking he missed the cut last year at a course he loves. He's been playing well and can add a second major here at a venue that suits what he can do.

Wright Thompson Winner: Rory McIlroy : His wife is from the Rochester area, and he's a member at Oak Hill, and there is no greater motivation in the world than impressing your in-laws.

Betting value picks to win

Our betting experts give you picks to win based on value. We look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance to cash your ticket .

Anita Marks, ESPN betting analyst Winner: Scottie Scheffler (+650)

Why he'll win: Scheffler finished in the top 5 last week at the Byron Nelson and could have won if his flatstick performed better. He had a T-10 finish at the Masters and seven top 10s in 14 majors. Scheffler has nerves of steel on the big stage. He ranks first in Greens in Regulation , Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green and par 4 scoring this season.

Tyler Fulghum, ESPN betting analyst Winner: Collin Morikawa (28-1)

Why he'll win: The value on Morikawa is too great to pass up here. He's a two-time major champion -- including the 2020 PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park. He often appears to play his best golf at the majors having six top-10 finishes in his last major starts. With Oak Hill being lengthened and the fairways still being tight, he has the type of length/accuracy combo that will be necessary to score well on this course.

Michael Collins , ESPN betting analyst Winner: Dustin Johnson (25-1)

Why he'll win: I cannot for the life of me understand how Johnson is at 25-1. When DJ tells us he's hitting it good, we should believe him.

Doug Kezirian, ESPN betting analyst Winner: Cameron Young (30-1)

Why he'll win: Armed with a new caddie and length off the tee, Young could thrive at Oak Hill as long as his short game is decent. He has been solid over the past calendar year with three top-seven finishes in the past four majors. Hopefully this is when he breaks through.

Joe Fortenbaugh, ESPN betting analyst Winner: Sungjae Im (35-1)

Why he'll win: If Collin Morikawa ranked 10th on tour in strokes gained: Total and entered the PGA Championship having produced six straight top-20 finishes and three straight top-8 finishes, you'd likely see him priced in the neighborhood of 22-1. But the resume I just gave you doesn't belong to Morikawa, it belongs to Sungjae Im, who is priced at 35-1. This is what we call "value."

Odds of winning the 2023 PGA Championship

Props and more.

Our betting experts have more than just bets to win. Here are some props to target for the entire event, from top 10s to made cuts to tournament matchups .

Tony Finau top-10 finish (+210) Marks: Finau is looking to win his first major, has four wins on tour since July, and just recently won in Mexico. He ranks in the top 15 in greens in regulation and is ranked 11th in the world. It is Tony Time this weekend.

Rory McIlroy top-10 finish (+140) Fulghum: What's been going on with Rory? I don't personally care. He's too good and has too much of a track record at majors to not "buy the dip." Oak Hill -- which is long and has narrow fairways -- should play perfectly into his strengths. I'm betting he shows up big this weekend and silences the murmuring critics.

Rickie Fowler top-5 finish (12-1) Collins: Beware the allergy stricken golfer. Fowler has been outside the top 20 once in his past 7 starts.

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2024 Corales Puntacana Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's called 11 majors

Sportsline's proven model simulated the corales puntacana championship 2024 10,000 times and revealed its pga golf picks.

The seventh PGA Tour iteration of the Corales Puntacana Championship will begin on Thursday at Corales Golf Club in the Dominican Republic. The first two years of the event were played as Web.com Tour tournaments, but it was elevated to the PGA Tour beginning in 2018. Defending champion Matt Wallace is not in the 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship field, but Nicolai Hojgaard is returning after a runner-up finish last year. Hojgaard turned heads at the Masters last week when he was briefly tied for the lead in the third round.

However, Alex Noren is the 12-1 favorite in the 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship odds, followed by Hojgaard (14-1) and Billy Horschel (20-1). There are only four golfers listed inside of 30-1 on the PGA odds board, so are there any longshots you should target with your 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship bets? Before locking in your 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, McClure's best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 11 majors entering the weekend and hit the Masters three straight years. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the Corales Puntacana Championship 2024 field is finalized, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard .

Top 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship: Noren, who is the favorite has finished inside the top 20 in four straight PGA tournaments, struggles this week and barely cracks the top five. Noren played in his first PGA Tour event in 2008, and he has played in 171 PGA tournaments overall. However, he is still seeking his first victory, so it is difficult to justify his position as the favorite on the odds board this week.

Noren has struggled with his driver this season, ranked outside the top 100 in total driving and driving distance. He also sits outside the top 150 on the PGA Tour in putting average and one-putt percentage, so he would need to make drastic improvements during all four rounds this week. While this is a weaker field due to the RBC Heritage, the model has identified better golfers to back in the Dominican Republic. 

Another surprise: Victor Perez, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The Frenchman finished inside the top 15 at the PGA Championship last year before making the cut at the Open Championship during a successful 2023 season.

Perez has seven professional wins, including three on the European Tour, and he is still seeking his first PGA Tour victory. The 31-year-old finished T3 in the Puerto Rico Open last month before cracking the top 20 at the Texas Children's Houston Open. He has proven he can beat up on weak fields and he ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in GIR percentage (71.8), making him an excellent longshot pick this week.  See who else to pick here . 

How to make 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship picks

The model is also targeting five other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here .

Who will win the 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Corales Puntacana Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Corales Puntacana Championship leaderboard , all from the model that's nailed 11 golf majors, including the last three Masters.

2024 Corales Puntacana Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 Corales Puntacana Championship picks, best bets, and predictions here .

Alex Noren +1200 Nicolai Hojgaard +1400 Billy Horschel +2000 Aaron Rai +2200 Nate Lashley +3000 Ben Martin +3500 Mark Hubbard +3500 Kevin Yu +3500 Doug Ghim +3500 Davis Thompson +3500 Daniel Berger +3500 Victor Perez +3500 Ben Griffin +4000 K.H. Lee +4000 Bud Cauley +4000 Sam Stevens +4500 Sam Ryder +4500 Justin Lower +4500 Jhonattan Vegas +4500 Thriston Lawrence +4500 S.H. Kim +5000 Joseph Bramlett +5000 Joel Dahmen +5000 Garrick Higgo +5000 Nick Hardy +5500 Max Greyserman +5500 Matt Kuchar +5500 Justin Suh +5500 Greyson Sigg +5500 Chan Kim +5500 Alex Fitzpatrick +6000 Michael Kim +6000 Matti Schmid +6000 Jimmy Stanger +6000 Carl Yuan +6000 Tyler Duncan +6000 Taylor Pendrith +6000 Peter Kuest +6500 Jacob Bridgeman +6500 Chad Ramey +6500 Ben Silverman +7000 Chris Gotterup +7000 Kevin Dougherty +7500 Alex Smalley +8000 Rico Hoey +8000 Joe Highsmith +8000 Hayden Springer +8000 Charley Hoffman +8000 Austin Smotherman +9000 Parker Coody +9000 Martin Trainer +9000

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Si Woo Kim Betting Profile: THE PLAYERS Championship

Betting Profile

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Si Woo Kim placed 27th in THE PLAYERS Championship in 2023, shooting a -5 on the par-72 course. His sights are set higher March 14-17 at TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course) in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida.

THE PLAYERS Championship Tournament & Course Info

• Date: March 14-17, 2024
• Location: Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida
• Course: TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course)
• Par: 72 / 7,275 yards
• Purse: $25M
• Previous Winner: Scottie Scheffler

At THE PLAYERS Championship

• Kim has entered THE PLAYERS Championship four times recently, with one win, an average finish of 12th, and an average score of -8.
• Kim finished 27th (with a score of -5) in his most recent appearance at THE PLAYERS Championship (in 2023).
• Scottie Scheffler won this tournament in 2023 with numbers of 4.637 in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee (fifth in field), 7.529 in SG: Approach the Green (fourth), and 0.107 in SG: Putting (48th).
• Scheffler averaged 305.9 yards off the tee (first in field), had a greens in regulation percentage of 75% (first), and attempted 28.25 putts per round (49th) in that victory a year ago.

Kim's Recent Performances

• Kim has made the weekend and finished in the top 20 on the leaderboard twice over his last five tournaments.
• Over his last five appearances, Kim has carded a score that's better than average in three of those outings.
• He has an average score of -8 across his last five events.
• In terms of driving distance, Si Woo Kim has averaged 287.4 yards in his past five starts.
• Kim has an average of -2.408 Strokes Gained: Putting in his past five tournaments.
• Kim is averaging 2.277 Strokes Gained: Total in his past five tournaments.

Kim's Advanced Stats and Rankings

• Kim has put up a Strokes Gained: Off the Tee average of 0.532 this season (18th on TOUR). His average driving distance (286.8 yards) ranks 158th, while his 67.8% driving accuracy average ranks 16th.
• In terms of Strokes Gained: Approach, Kim ranks 31st on TOUR with a mark of 0.495.
• On the greens, Kim's -0.607 Strokes Gained: Putting mark places him 158th on TOUR this season, and his putts-per-round average ranks first. He has broken par % of the time (first).

Kim's Best Finishes

• Kim has participated in seven tournaments this season, and he has not yet finished in the top 10.
• In those seven tournaments, he made the cut on seven occasions.
• Currently, Kim sits 43rd in the FedExCup standings with 340 points.

Kim's Best Strokes Gained Performances

• This season Kim's best Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee performance came at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January 2024, as he put up a 3.964 mark, which ranked him seventh in the field. He finished 42nd in that tournament.
• Kim put up his best Strokes Gained: Approach mark this season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, ranking fifth in the field at 4.767. In that event, he finished 30th.
• When it comes to Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green, Kim's best mark this season was at the WM Phoenix Open in February 2024, as he posted a 2.681 mark, which ranked him 10th in the field. He finished 12th in that event.
• At the WM Phoenix Open in February 2024, Kim delivered his best Strokes Gained: Putting mark so far this season (0.642, which ranked 40th in the field). In that event, he finished 12th.
• Kim recorded his best Strokes Gained: Total mark this season (7.258) in February 2024 at the WM Phoenix Open. That ranked 12th in the field.

Kim's Strokes Gained Rankings

Kim's past results.

All stats in this article are accurate for Kim as of the start of THE PLAYERS Championship.

Note: The PGA TOUR has created this story via a machine-learning model using data from ShotLink , powered by CDW, in addition to player performance data. While we strive for accuracy and quality, please note that the information provided may not be entirely error-free.