pro farmer crop tour 2023 day 3 results

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Watch Live: 2023 Pro Farmer Crop Tour Results, Day 3

Watch live as we reveal the results of Day 3 of the Pro Farmer Crop Tour. The broadcast begins at 8 p.m. central/9 p.m. eastern.

Click here to read full Crop Tour reports and yield estimates.

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Pro Farmer Crop Tour: Day 3 results

Scouts on this year’s Pro Farmer Crop Tour have been dealing with at or near triple-digit heat for most of their trip. However, as they movedhad across each leg of the tour, they found the crops have been showing less signs of stress.

On the Eastern side, the group estimates nearly 194 bushels per acre in Illinois, up slightly from last year. Soybean estimates are up as well with an expected 1,270 pods per three-by-three square. To the West in Nebraska, they estimate 167.2 bushels per acre of corn, which is up 5.5 percent over a year ago but nearly 3 percent below the three-year average in the state. Scouts say there was not as much disease on day three but it is still something to be closely watching for.

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US corn yields up, soybeans slashed: Pro Farmer 2023 crop tour

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Welcome to the 2023 Pro Farmer Crop Tour, a one-of-a-kind event that brings together farmers from across the Midwest and leaders throughout agriculture. This marks the 31st year that Crop Tour will provide the industry with accurate late-season growing information about likely corn and soybean yields.

MEDIA CAN ATTEND NIGHTLY MEETINGS Members of the media are invited to attend Pro Farmer Crop Tour nightly meetings, which are scheduled in locations throughout the tour route. These meetings are attended by local farmers and include scouting reports and yield estimates for that day. Please REGISTER with discount code 23MEDIA for a complimentary ticket.

EASTERN TOUR

August 21 – Noblesville, IN Embassy Suites Noblesville Indianapolis Conference Center 13700 Conference Center Drive South Noblesville, IN 46060 *note all times above are CST. This location takes place 1 hour later.

August 22 – Bloomington, IL DoubleTree by Hilton 10 Brickyard Drive Bloomington, IL 61701

August 23 – Iowa City, IA Hyatt Regency Coralville 300 East 9th Street Coralville, IA 52241

August 24 – Rochester, MN Mayo Civic Center 30 Civic Center Drive SE Rochester, MN 55902 

WESTERN TOUR

August 21 – Grand Island, NE TBD

August 22 – Nebraska City, NE Lied Lodge and Conference Center 2700 Sylvan Road Nebraska City, NE 68410

August 23– Spencer, IA Clay County Fair and Events Center 800 West 18th Street Spencer, IA 51301  

August 24 – Rochester, MN Mayo Civic Center 30 Civic Center Drive SE Rochester, MN 55902

Media Information

Primary Media Contacts: Susan Rhode, Director of Marketing, Farm Journal (913) 213-7110 or [email protected] Joe May, Marketing Director, Pro Farmer (319) 883-9616 or [email protected]

Media Resources: Additional media resources and information are available at www.profarmer.com/media

Official Event Name: Pro Farmer Crop Tour

Please refer to the event as "Pro Farmer Crop Tour" on first reference and as "Crop Tour” on subsequent references

Pro Farmer is owned by Farm Journal

Pro Farmer Crop Tour is hosted in partnership with Farm Journal

Daily Data Release Schedule—Eastern Tour

Monday, August 21 — Final data available for Ohio Tuesday, August 22 — Final data available for Indiana Wednesday, August 23 — Final data available for Illinois Thursday, August 24 — Final data available for Iowa and Minnesota

Nightly Meetings/Data Release Schedule—Western Tour

Monday, August 21 — Final data available for South Dakota Tuesday, August 22 — Final data available for Nebraska. Wednesday, August 23 — Final data available for IA districts 1, 4 & 7 Thursday, August 24 — Final data available for Iowa and Minnesota

Pro Farmer National Crop Production Estimates

Friday, August 25 — Release available at 1:30 pm CST All interested media can make arrangements with Brian Grete to receive the estimates (embargoed for release at 1:30 p.m. CT).

Friday's Pro Farmer National Crop Production estimate is not a Crop Tour estimate — it is a Pro Farmer estimate. While Pro Farmer obviously uses the data collected on the Pro Farmer Crop Tour and this data obviously plays a huge role in determining the estimate, Pro Farmer’s editors and analysts also consider other factors, such as crop maturity, soil moisture conditions, disease/pest infestation and prospects outside the tour area in arriving at the crop estimate. Because late-season weather can still impact final yields, the Pro Farmer crop estimate will be given in a range of production potential.

Calculation of Statistics: Corn yields are calculated using a consistent data set: ear populations, grain length in

inches, kernel rows around the ear and row spacing in each field.

Soybean yields are not estimated because two extremely important variables—number of seeds per pod and seed weight—are impossible to measure on a tour of this type. Scouts calculate the number of pods in a 3-foot by 3-foot square — 9 square feet. The pod count allows for comparison to previous tours and helps determine how much of the “bean-making factory” is in production.

District averages are a simple average of all samples collected within that district.

State averages are a simple average of all samples collected within the state.

Historical Statistics:

Historical district averages are a simple average of all the samples collected within that district in that state.

Historical state averages are a simple average of all samples collected in that state for that year.

The 3-year average for each district is a simple average of the previous three years’ (2018 thru 2020) district averages.

The 3-year average for each state is a simple average of the previous three years’ (2018 thru 2020) state averages.

Crop Tour Historical Facts:

• The tour has been organized and hosted by Pro Farmer since 1993 • Farm Journal purchased Pro Farmer and joined the event in 1998 • Prior to 1993, the tour was organized by various organizations • Immediately preceding Pro Farmer, the tour was directed by Jim Quinton, who was an independent crop consultant/advisor. • The tour was started in the 1970s by the Illinois Corn Growers. • The same procedures are used each year to make year-to-year comparisons relevant and useful.

About Crop Tour

The Pro Farmer Crop Tour’s primary goal is to provide the industry with accurate growing season information about likely corn and soybean production potential at the state and regional levels during the upcoming harvest season.

Crop Tour’s data-gathering methods are disciplined, and time tested, producing consistent results. The Tour’s crop scouts, especially the new ones, receive formal instruction before the Tour and training from Tour veterans along the way. Results from the Tour have a big impact on Pro Farmer Newsletter’s annual crop production estimate released at week’s end. But observations gathered during the Tour can be just as important as the data itself.

“We pull enough samples to provide us with accurate data for a large geographic area. Crop Tour does not attempt to predict actual yields for individual fields or even a county. Instead, we are trying to gauge production potential across the Corn Belt. The best number we have at the end of the week is the average from all of the roughly 1,500 corn and 1,500 soybean samples we measure during the week,” says Pro Farmer Editor Brian Grete.

“USDA’s corn and soybean crop ratings show there’s a great divide between those areas where rains have been prevalent and the areas that have been dry,” says Brian Grete. “Crop Tour will give us a first-hand look at whether the good areas are enough to compensate for the poorer locations. This is a service we provide to the industry, and anyone with interest can tune into our live-streamed coverage each night of the Tour.”

“Soybean yields are always difficult to forecast because the relationship of pod counts to yields varies quite a bit from state to state,” Grete explains. “Plus, weather after Tour is critical to how the soybean crop finishes. But pod counts gathered on Crop Tour usually provide us with good perspective on the soybean crop’s yield ‘factory.’

Pro Farmer has been conducting the Midwest Crop Tour since 1993. Early Tours focused on Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota and Ohio, with Nebraska and South Dakota added in 1998. Together, the seven states that make up the Tour account for about 70% of our nation’s corn and soybean production.

Pro Farmer Crop Tour Strives to Stay “Consistently Random.”

The Tour stays consistent by traveling the third week of August every year, by traveling the same routes every year and by using the same sampling procedure in every field.

The randomness of the Tour is actually “planned randomness.” It’s achieved by not

predetermining which fields will be sampled and by allowing each team to select the location in the field. But it doesn’t end there: More planned randomness is added by walking 35 paces down the main rows to the sample location. (When scouts start walking into a corn field, there’s no way to tell what will be about 35 yards beyond the end rows.) Even the ear selection is consistently random. By pulling the fifth, eighth and 11th ear from one sample row, scouts might pull the three best, or three worst, ears from the row.

That’s a lot of investigation ... but how do you use it? There is only one way to use data collected on the Pro Farmer Crop Tour—compare the current results to past Tours. That comparison has proven to yield the most reliable analysis of fresh data.

We’ve studied and analyzed thousands of samples over 25 years of touring, and we’ve calculated the “historical error” of the Tour data. Simply put, we know the Tour results will be different than USDA’s final yield estimate for each state. Fortunately, we know which states the Tour measures “high” or “low,” and we know, on average, by how much. That allows us to adjust Tour results to produce a more reliable yield estimate when the Pro Farmer crop estimates are released following completion of the Tour.

When you hear results from the Tour, don’t just compare them to USDA’s August Crop Production report. Compare Tour results to the previous year’s results to figure how much bigger or smaller average yields will be.

Daily results, data and observations will be available on www.profarmer.com

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©2024 Farm Journal, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

AgriTalk-August 23, 2023

It's Day 3 of Pro Farmer Crop Tour 2023 and East leg director Brian Grete is in Northwest Illinois. He joins us to discuss yesterday's results and what changes he's seeing in the fields today compared to previous crop tours. Chip Flory, West leg director on the Pro Farmer Crop Tour, is in Woodbury County, Iowa and he shares perspective on yesterday's findings plus some concerns over what he's seeing in the fields today.

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Pro Farmer Crop Tour - Day 4

Eastern & Western Routes - Thursday August 24

Eastern route - day 4.

• Begins in Iowa City, Iowa.
• Ends in Rochester, Minnesota.
• Monday - Day 1
• Tuesday - Day 2
• Wednesday - Day 3

Western Route - Day 4

• Begins in Spencer, Iowa.

Leader - Jay Zielske, Pioneer Field Agronomist, Southeast Minnesota

• Corn currently experiencing significant drought stress across much of the area … worst since 1988.
• Season began with heavy rains and saturated soils in May with large areas requiring replant.
• Soybean diseases have been minimal to date however impact of soybean cyst nematode (SCN) has been felt.
• Soybean crop stands to benefit more so from rain that finally returned in early August.
• Find more updates & photos .

Crop Conditions - Southeast Minnesota

- Jay Zielske

Weather Challenges

• Some years more unusual than others.
• Cold wet May resulted in prolonged saturated soils resulting in near record amount of corn replant.
• Late May rain shut off, and conditions switched to the most severe drought for many since 1988.
• Drought has been the chief concern throughout the summer in southern and south-central Minnesota.
• Stabilizing and salvaging the corn crop.
• Soybeans better positioned to capitalize on August rains.
• Dry weather for much of the season led to significantly less Tar Spot .
• Corn rootworm diapause replaced tar spot as corn farmer’s biggest concern.
• Soil samples taken for SCN showed 60% of fields with high to very high levels.
• Pioneer® brand A-Series Enlist E3® soybean varieties with PEKING are performing well.
• Enlist E3 soybeans is THE DOMINANT soybean technology.

Looking Ahead to Harvest

• Drought stressed crop is likely to race to the finish.
• Farmers should not waste time getting the crop out of the field.
• Phantom yield loss is real.

Disease Challenge - Tar Spot

Quoting colleague Josh Shofner:

"You can’t fungicide your way out of Tar Spot.”

• Dry weather conditions throughout much of the area kept tar spot largely in check.
• Return to more normal weather conditions will likely bring a return to tar spot in 2024.
• Tar spot management begins with hybrid selection.
• Timely fungicide applications

However ...

Extended diapause of corn rootworm replaced tar spot in the headlines going into 2023.

• Extended diapause and damage to first year corn from northern corn rootworm is back with a vengeance.
• First year corn without a below ground rootworm trait or insecticide fell victim to heavy rootworm pressure.
• High adult beetle populations in 2021 and back-to-back mild winters resulted in high survival rates and heavy pressure.
• Pioneer ® brand Qrome ® products fared well under rootworm pressure in 2023 … looking to the future we’re eager to rollout Pioneer ® brand Vorceed™ Enlist ® products .
• VORCEED Enlist ® technology provides the yield/insect protection / weed control options farmers are looking for.
• Looking ahead to 2024 whether it be tar spot or extended diapause, Pioneer is positioned to be the LEADER for both challenges.

Rootworm injury to non-rootworm traited hybrid.

Soybean Cyst Nematode

Populations continue to build.

• Dry weather has resulted in minimal disease pressure thus far.
• With dry weather the impact of Soybean Cyst Nematode has been magnified.
• Nearly 60% of those fields showed high to very high populations even where resistant varieties have been planted.
• Indication that reliance on PI88788 source of resistance is not enough.
• Pioneer continues to have success with PEKING source in our A-Series Enlist E3® varieties.

Pioneer Agronomy Manager Mary Gumz

Pioneer Portfolio Marketing Leader for Corn - Adam Theis

What’s Next in Pioneer Corn

Social and Apps

Tour updates on social:.

Follow Pioneer Instagram Stories. Follow Twitter. (#PFTour23)

Apps and Tools:

Visit the GDU Calculator. Visit the Corn Yield Estimator.

Get more information from Pro Farmer.

My Local Pioneer Team

Our unmatched team of local professionals live and work in your community. They’re ready to help you select high-yielding products and provide year-round service and expertise. Have questions? Ask your local Pioneer sales representative today.

The transgenic soybean event in Enlist E3 ® soybeans is jointly developed and owned by Corteva Agriscience and M.S. Technologies L.L.C.

* Data is based on the average of comparisons made in the US 2019-2021. Comparisons are against all competitors, technology segment matched, unless otherwise stated, and within a +/- 3 CRM of the competitive brand. Efficacy from multiple trials with moderate & high CRW pressure at 8 locations in 2014, 6 locations in 2015, 8 locations in 2016, 8 locations in 2017, 10 locations in 2018, 9 locations in 2019, and 15 locations in 2020.