Tour Championship Odds and Betting Preview

The PGA Tour is in Georgia for the Tour Championship this Thursday. OddsChecker's Matt MacKay breaks down the odds from the top of the board and shares some of his best bets for this week!

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Rory McIlroy plays his tee shot on the second hole during the final round of the BMW Championship.

The FedExCup has whittled down its final 30 golfers based on season-long FedExCup rankings ahead of its final playoff event at the PGA Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia. Part of the unique format, which changed from the top 125 qualifiers to the top 70 this year, brings staggered scoring into play for the third and final FedExCup playoff event. 

After Viktor Hovland ’s red-hot -9-under-par round on Sunday that propelled him over Scottie Scheffler and Matt Fitzpatrick at the BMW Championship, he’ll start Thursday’s first round at East Lake at -8-under-par since he jumped into No. 2 in the FedExCup rankings. Scheffler remains atop the FedExCup for the second consecutive year, where he managed a T2 finish one stroke behind Rory McIlroy . Other notable golfers with a significant head start include McIlroy at -7-under-par, Jon Rahm at -6-under-par, and Lucas Glover, who has won two of the past three events outright, teeing off at -5-under-par. 

Before we get into our picks for the Tour Championship, make sure to take a moment to check out these awesome sports betting offers for this week. We have teamed up with OddsChecker to ensure that you claim $1000s in first-bet bonuses so that you can bet on these 2023 Tour Championship selections with more confidence this week.

The betting odds reflect this staggered scoring format, which is why Scheffler’s two-stroke lead has his outright odds so short at +150 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Recent FedExCup winners include McIlroy, with two victories since 2019, along with Patrick Cantlay , Dustin Johnson , and Tiger Woods.

Let’s find out when opening tee times will occur at the 2023 PGA Tour Championship and how to watch it. We’ll take a look at outright betting odds, then dive into a course overview of East Lake Golf Club before revealing the top players to bet outright to wrap up the 2023 PGA season with plenty of cash in our pockets.

Tour Championship Betting Odds

Tour championship betting preview.

Previous Winners

  • 2022 - Rory McIlroy (-21)
  • 2021 - Patrick Cantlay (-21)
  • 2020 - Dustin Johnson (-21)
  • 2019 - Rory McIlroy (-18)
  • 2018 - Tiger Woods (-11)

Relevant Betting Stats

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  • Total Driving
  • Strokes Gained Approaching the Green
  • Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green
  • Greens in Regulation percentage
  • Sand Save percentage
  • Strokes Gained Putting

Course Layout

East Lake Golf Club features a stock par 70 that runs roughly 7,400 yards in length. While there aren’t nearly as many narrow, doglegged fairways that we’ve grown accustomed to seeing in previous playoff events, there are plenty of water hazards, trees, and sand bunkers to wreak havoc. Golfers won’t get a par 5 until the sixth hole, which is relatively short at 520 yards, while the second par 5 is saved for the 18th hole, stretching nearly 600 yards. 

The most iconic hole at East Lake has to be the par 3 on the 15th hole, which requires a 222-yard tee shot over a massive body of water to create an intimidating island shot with an iron. Three of the four par 3s are over 200 yards in length, so finding greens in regulation and maintaining close hole proximity will be key to climbing the leaderboard. It’s once again a course built for ball striking, with smaller greens than average, flanked by plenty of sand bunkers. Of course, getting into a rhythm with the putter can make the difference here with strong approach shots, as we just witnessed Hovland’s irons setting him up for consistent birdie attempts inside of 12 feet at Olympia Fields. 

Predict the  top five finishers  at this week's Tour Championship for a chance to win this Golf Monthly x OddsChecker free-to-play golf contest.

How to Enter the $10,000 Tour Championship Free-to-Play Game

1.       Make your selections using the widget above - Ensure you have selected each player in your chosen finishing position e.g. Scottie Scheffler (1st), Rory McIlroy (2nd), Viktor Hovland (3rd), and so on.

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TOP PLAYERS TO BET IN THE OUTRIGHT MARKET: TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER

Rory McIlroy (+330) (Bet $100 to collect $430) FanDuel has the best Rory McIlroy odds

After a disappointing Sunday at the BMW Championship, Rory McIlroy still has a chance to win his third FedExCup in five years, starting at -7-under-par, three strokes behind Scottie Scheffler. It was a similar situation entering East Lake last year, but the Northern Ireland star went on a run to usurp Scheffler for an outright win. McIlroy is dialed in right now, recording nine consecutive T9 finishes or better since the PGA Championship in May. His strokes gained metrics are all ranked inside the top eight, minus putting, so at +330 odds, this is a good value to acquire on McIlroy attempting a three-peat at the biggest event of the PGA Tour season. 

Jon Rahm (+850) (Bet $100 to collect $950) Go to FanDuel for the best Jon Rahm odds

Jon Rahm has not performed as well as he did earlier in the season, but he still benefits greatly from his body of work, starting at -6-under-par on Thursday. We all have witnessed Rahm’s ability to get hot from anywhere on the golf course, so it will only take one round to get him into a position to take the outright lead. He started -10-under-par at East Lake in the first two rounds before nosediving with a +2 score in the final two rounds, settling with a T15 finish last year. Rahm at +850 is solid, as he’s usually the first or second outright betting option. Let’s wager a unit on the Spaniard to piece it together to claim his first FedExCup title.

Xander Schauffele (+3500) (Bet $100 to collect $3,600) For the best Xander Schauffele odds go to FanDuel

Now we’re digging into some good value in the 35/1 range with Xander Schauffele. Well known for his ball striking and putting prowess, Schauffele has been relatively quiet in recent events, climbing into a T8 finish at the BMW Championship after a +1 round to start. The Californian ranks sixth in total strokes gained, including fifth on approach, 14th tee-to-green, and fourth putting. He’s got all of the traits to climb the leaderboard from his -3-under-par starting position, but it will require four rounds of consistency. I like sprinkling half a unit on Schauffele’s outright odds at 35/1 based on his fit with East Lake, where he went -12-under-par, including 11-under in the first two rounds last season.

Brian Harman (+6000) (Bet $100 to collect $6,100) Head over to FanDuel to get the best Brian Harman odds

We hit on Brian Harman’s outright win at The Open Championship at a ridiculous 120/1 odds, so 60/1 is nothing to be scared of. Harman is a pure ball striker, ranked 12th in driving accuracy percentage, 24th in strokes gained putting, and seventh in the edge of fairway distance. 23rd-ranked hole proximity is huge, as it sets the Georgia native up with makeable birdie putts. Harman is third in sand save percentage, which is another key piece to winning at East Lake, where he went -7-under-par after starting at -1-under-par in 2022. This year, Harman bumps his starting spot up to -4-under-par, giving him a significant edge to run the tables yet again. Let’s bet on Harman with half a unit at 60/1 odds.

Rickie Fowler (+9000) (Bet $100 to collect $9,100) FanDuel has the best Rickie Fowler odds

Rickie Fowler hasn’t competed in the Tour Championship since 2019, where he had a mediocre outing, failing to get under par in any of the four rounds. It’s been a much improved 2023 campaign for Fowler, who ended his four-year winning drought with an impressive clutch performance late at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Fowler ranks 10th in strokes gained tee-to-green, eighth approaching the green, and 25th around the green. He’s also a top-40 putter and a top-30 driver and finds greens in regulation at over a 68.3 percent conversion rate. 90/1 is ridiculously mispriced for a player of Fowler’s talent, especially starting at -3-under-par. Let’s invest a quarter unit on the Californian to pull off the outright win at the 2023 Tour Championship. 

Matt MacKay is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game from a fantasy sports and sports betting perspective. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly aiming to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.

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Tom Kim and Sungjae Im are both fancied for strong finishes

Ben Coley's golf betting tips: TOUR Championship preview and best bets

Ben Coley previews the TOUR Championship, the final event of the PGA Tour season that should end with one of golf's biggest names crowned FedEx Cup champion.

Golf betting tips: TOUR Championship

2pts e.w. Sungjae Im lowest 72-hole score at 28/1 (Paddy Power, Betfair 1/5 1,2,3,4,5)

2pts e.w. Tom Kim lowest 72-hole score at 35/1 (Paddy Power, Betfair 1/5 1,2,3,4,5)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

The nature of any Playoffs system, including the PGA Tour's ill-fitting attempt at one, is that we don't always end up with the best fighting to be crowned the best. Even the FedEx Cup and its boosted final few events doesn't do that, not really, although the concept of 'best' over the course of an entire year's golf is naturally fluid.

This year, however, the computer has spat out the standout four players on the PGA Tour. Scottie Scheffler remains the benchmark and, just as he did in 2022, will start the TOUR Championship with a two-shot lead. Viktor Hovland is in second after his sensational 61 to win the BMW. Rory McIlroy has had a chance to win both events in the Playoffs and is therefore third. Jon Rahm couldn't fall much further than fourth.

Reducing the number of tournaments from four to three has played its part and we are undeniably left with the best-case scenario. Unfortunately it guarantees precisely nothing in the way of entertainment. Scheffler might shoot 63-63 and lead by 15 shots entering the weekend. If he does let the others into it again, this will remain contrived nonsense which should be beneath the pinnacle of any sport.

By now you'd think they'd realise that, thank heavens, golf is not F1. It's not NFL. It's a sport with mass playing appeal but with a limited audience when it comes to watching, sort of like fishing in reverse except not a complete waste of everyone's time. For my money, they should try to present this sport to its adoring fans properly before attempts to win over naysayers are allowed to cheapen it.

The final 30 heading to @TOURChamp are locked in 🔒 pic.twitter.com/nLUYa0mB5I — PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) August 21, 2023

As for a bet, anyone who backed Scheffler at a generous-looking 5/2 last year may wince at the prospect of going in again at 6/4 this time. He's improved a little bit since, despite the best efforts of his putter, but the standard of those in closest pursuit is higher. McIlroy gave Scheffler six shots and a beating last year despite beginning the tournament with a triple-bogey. From three shots closer, he'll love his chances and appeals more at 7/2.

Hovland is buzzing, Rahm is always dangerous, and one of this quartet really ought to win. Golf's big three were priced at around the 5/6 mark at the beginning of this trio of events and are now 1/3 and change. If anyone can topple all three, it's surely only Hovland, who is set to make it a big four.

McIlroy at 7/2 and Rahm at 8/1 would appeal most of all but I'm more interested in the 72-hole scoring market, even if it can be a headache to follow. Last year's was won by McIlroy and he is now a three-time course winner seeking his fourth FedEx Cup, but he's two points shorter this time and talk of more putter experimentation is just enough of a concern to overlook the man they all have to beat in pure scoring terms.

Sungjae to shine

Perhaps, with these four likely to be embroiled in a battle for the however-many-millions bonus, there is an opportunity for somebody to outplay them from further back. And perhaps that person is SUNGJAE IM , who almost did it last year.

  • CLICK HERE to back Im with Sky Bet

Since his madcap decision to fly home to South Korea a week before the PGA Championship and then bomb out completely at Oak Hill, Im has been steadily improving. His long-game in particular has turned a corner of late and finishes of 14-6-7 are the result, with last week's particularly eye-catching at a long course where he'd been 56th of 70 before.

Although it was Im's short-game that kept him competitive in the first round of the BMW Championship, after that he really clicked into gear, ranking ninth, fourth and fifth in strokes-gained approach before 12 of 14 fairways was enough to be the second-best driver in the field on Sunday.

All told he finished fifth in the tee-to-green charts and just outside the top five overall after a solid but unspectacular putting week at a course which ought not to suit nearly as much as East Lake, which is also long but has always given the straight hitters more than a fighting chance. Ultimately, it's driving well that matters, however you do that.

Im has been a rock-solid driver throughout his PGA Tour career because, like Hovland, he's accurate as well as more powerful than perhaps you'd think. If that club fires in the way it did on Sunday, he will have an ideal platform as he seeks to emulate last season's effort, when second only to McIlroy in overall scoring and almost pinching the outright prize, which would've been a bit silly to say the least given his body of work.

With an excellent record at another Donald Ross course, Sedgefield, it shouldn't be a big surprise that Im has liked it here since a strong start to his debut. In 2020 he was the halfway leader (in scoring terms, if not in reality) and while quiet a year later, he returned to almost pick the pockets of both McIlroy and Scheffler and land the money in 2022.

Im's US base is here in Atlanta so he might just have benefited from that, something he's referenced previously, and while he's capable on all surfaces he's most likely to putt the lights out on greens like these. From eight shots back he's not likely to find himself in the real heat of battle but that may if anything help him land the low 72 of the week.

From WAY downtown! Sungjae Im sinks it from 52 feet @FedExChamp . pic.twitter.com/afEX3rScsp — PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) August 12, 2023

Kim can overshadow Ryder Cup hopefuls

I'm curious to know how much attention Ryder Cup captain Zach Johnson will pay to non-handicap scores. You'd think quite a bit, given that it offers the better form guide ahead of his post-tournament wildcard announcement, but I've a nagging doubt as to whether things will be that simple. Anyway, how much should it matter if someone with no hope of winning freewheels to a good score?

Theoretically, the likes of Sam Burns (10 back), Tony Finau (8), Keegan Bradley (7) and Rickie Fowler (7) could benefit from focusing on the task at hand away from the spotlight and Fowler in particular made some sense. He won at another Ross-designed course earlier this summer, part of a strong set of results on more traditional layouts, and his approach play last week was as good as it's been since.

Russell Henley has an excellent record at the course and hails from Georgia so he too could be dangerous from seven behind. The trouble is, Henley isn't necessarily the sort I'd expect to thrive under the additional pressure of imminent Ryder Cup picks and while I doubt he's going to be heading to Rome in a month, he will believe he can still turn Johnson's head. Maybe that will work against him.

Schauffele booked his seat on the plane last week, not that it was really in doubt, and is an obvious option around a course he adores, but 12/1 looks short enough given that he was a bit sloppy at times and I'll chance newcomer TOM KIM instead.

  • CLICK HERE to back Kim with Sky Bet

Like his compatriot, Kim is among the straightest hitters in this field and he's played well throughout the last month or so, finishing sixth and second in the UK before 24th and 10th across the last fortnight.

With the first of those Playoff performances allaying concerns over the injury he picked up in the Open, Kim went on to produce some excellent golf under less-than-ideal conditions last week, when his 11-under par weekend was better than all bar that of the eventual champion, Hovland.

Hovland himself won after powering through the field a week earlier and Kim could produce something similar if he's able to build on Sunday's best-of-the-day 63 and a back-nine 29 which was overshadowed by the Norwegian's stunning 28.

"Golf is good for the Seoul" 😎 These Sungjae Im and Tom Kim fans went all out @BMWChamps . pic.twitter.com/UB5xbA034G — PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) August 18, 2023

Early indications are that Ross courses like this suit, as he was seventh in Detroit before winning at Sedgefield and actually struck his ball really well for the 36 holes he played at Oak Hill, and from eight behind the leaders he can reward backers in the lowest 72-hole score market.

We're still learning about the dynamics of this event, and Patrick Rodgers' admission that feeling he couldn't really achieve much last week resulted in him checking out mentally is worth considering. In what's set to be oppressive heat, there could be some low-ranking types here who struggle to keep going at the end of a long, hard year.

Adam Schenk is an obvious candidate, his goal of making East Lake now very much achieved, but opposing such players is difficult given that they're all sent out in FedEx Cup order. Schenk begins the week with Collin Morikawa and I'm in no rush to take 4/6 about the latter winning their two-ball, a match without any real meaning.

I will therefore return to the idea that Im and Kim could freewheel to the sort of low-teens total that could do the job, noting that in each year so far one of the five players who began the week on two-under climbed inside the overall top-five.

For the record, they're priced at 100/1 and 125/1 respectively in the FedEx Cup betting if you fancy either to do just that, but any temptation is quickly extinguished by a look at those names up at the top. Bring on the Ryder Cup and away with this silliness.

Posted at 1000 BST on 22/08/23

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2023 Tour Championship: Betting Odds, Picks and a Prop for East Lake Golf Club

  • Author: Keith Stewart, PGA

ATLANTA, Ga. — There have been 10 multiple tournament winners in 16 years of FedEx Cup playoffs. Lucas Glover and Viktor Hovland have the form to become number 11, but 28 other players will have something to say about that in Atlanta at the Tour Championship.

East Lake Golf Club has hosted every Tour Championship since 2004. The top 30 know what they are getting into once the qualifiers are set on BMW Championship Sunday. On top of the skills needed to contend in Atlanta there’s also the score. I’m sure other SI writers will cover the list of starting positions , so let’s get into the action.

I’m here in Georgia and so is the summer weather, as the temperature will push 100 degrees each day. It is humid and the course looks pristine. Unfortunately for the fans and players, the forecast calls for little or no relief. We don’t have rain in the forecast and the wind predicted is just a slight breeze. East Lake has felt some precipitation in August, but not nearly enough to make the course play soft like in 2022.

The Zoysia fairways and Bermuda greens will be in perfect tournament condition for the PGA Tour's Super Bowl . In 2019, the Tour switched to a staggered start scoring system to reduce confusion around who wins the Tour Championship and ultimately the FedEx Cup. Since it started, players have made a run to the top and at least one from as far back as 2 under par has finished inside the top 5 each year.

Winning takes a much larger leap and the odds reflect that. To be completely transparent, most bettors don’t love the Tour Championship. No matter how you feel about the staggered start, there is value on this board. If you don’t see it on the outright list, you can definitely find it on the placement and head-to-head boards.

The successful players reaching the top 10 or winning a head-to-head match will show tremendous acumen off the tee. East Lake Golf Club is in the top 5 most penal courses for missing the fairway on Tour. With two reachable par-5s and eight par-4s measuring over 440 yards on this par-70, 7,300-plus-yard track, the driver is a certain key. Rory has three wins at East Lake in the last eight years. The best driver in the game started his tournament with a triple bogey in 2022 and still went on to win and shoot 17 under par.

Length off the tee aids on approach. Nearly 40% of the approach shots in Atlanta are played from over 200 yards. Hovland’s elite ability on approach makes him a favorite along with Xander Schauffele , who has never finished outside the top 10 in six starts! Both players have incredible long-iron skill and an aggressive personality. Schauffele spoke about it in his pre-tournament interview. Players have a final-week mentality and therefore we want the most aggressive players on our card.

Two or three other keys you need to consider if you want to win those weekend wagers are par-4 scoring and bogey avoidance. Brian Harman sits high on both of those lists and knows how to play in Georgia. The former Bulldog won the British Open in July and finished fifth at the BMW on Sunday. Harman is also a strong player from inside 50 yards. Short game and putting are the final differentiating factor to consider.

The last five winners have gained an average of six strokes around the green and putting combined. Those strokes-gained values are independent of the staggered start. A player’s ability to get the ball into the hole on a hard course really counts and sets our Win, Place, and Show for the week.

The Tour Championship marks an end to the current season. Enjoy the elite players as we will not see many of them again until Rome and then January. Have no fear when the Fortinet Championship starts in three weeks, I’ll be back on Tuesdays to continue helping you win and learn more about each week in my betting preview.

Win: Viktor Hovland

Multiple wins happen more than half the time in the playoffs. Viktor Hovland plays with an aggressive mindset and showing exceptional form. He will continue to fire at hole locations and convert birdie opportunities. The happy-go-lucky Hovland is a trained killer on the inside. He’s ranked top 10 in par-4 scoring, birdie-or-better percentage, short game, putting and driving. His only disadvantage this week is starting two strokes back of Scottie Scheffler . Take Viktor Hovland (+450 SI Sportsbook ) to win the Tour Championship.

Last week's pick: A 62 on Friday put our man Max Homa squarely in the hunt for the weekend but he faded Saturday and came home T5.

Place: Sungjae Im

Sungjae Im is a resident of Atlanta. The South Korean ball striking star lives just outside the city and practices out of TPC Sugarloaf. Familiar with Georgia course conditions and heat, Im finished runner-up last year and has four starts in the Tour Championship. Last week he turned in four rounds in the 60s at Olympia Fields to finish seventh. Take Sungjae Im to finish Top 10 (+210 SI Sportsbook ).

Last week's pick: We took Cam Davis to finish top 20 and he finished 40th.

Showdown: Xander Schauffele over Tom Kim

Xander Schauffele loves to play East Lake. In six starts, he has not finished outside the top 7. Tom Kim is making his first trip to the Tour Championship. Give Xander a huge edge in experience and the flatstick as Kim is ranked 23rd in putting. Take Xander Schauffele over Tom Kim H2H (-125 SI Sportsbook ).

Last week's pick: We took Taylor Moore over Tony Finau and the Utahan finished T37 ... but Moore finished last. Sigh.

Read The Line is the leading golf betting insights service led by 5-time award winning PGA Professional Keith Stewart. Read The Line covers the LPGA and PGA Tour, raising your golf betting acumen week after week. Subscribe to Read The Line’s weekly newsletter and follow us on social media: TikTok , Instagram , Twitter .

Select Odds to Win at SI Sportsbook

Scottie Scheffler +138

Rory McIlroy +350

Viktor Hovland +450

Jon Rahm +800

Patrick Cantlay  +2000

Max Homa +2800

Xander Schauffele +2800

Lucas Glover +3300

Matt Fitzpatrick +3300

Brian Harman +4500

Wyndham Clark +4500

Rickie Fowler +6000

Tommy Fleetwood +6000

Russell Henley +8000

Sungjae Im +10000

tour championship betting preview

2023 TOUR Championship Betting: Picks, Odds, Predictions and Best Bets

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This article is part of our Golf Picks series.

TOUR Championship Betting Preview

The 2022-23 PGA Tour season concludes this week with the remaining 30 players heading to Atlanta for the TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club. 

The TOUR Championship is unlike any other tournament, as Scottie Scheffler will begin with a two-shot lead at 10-under-par -- an advantage he earned as the leader of the FedExCup Standings heading into this week's event. Players are staggered from there, with Viktor Hovland checking in next at 8-under and the group of players who rank 26th-30th in the standings beginning at at even par. 

Last year, Rory McIlroy took home the FedEx Cup with a one-stroke victory over Scheffler and Sungjae Im .

All odds via  DraftKings Sportsbook  as of 5:45 PM ET Tuesday.

Check out the best sports betting websites for other odds, offers and promotions.

Course Characteristics

East Lake has been the host of this event every year since 2004, and it has proven to be a tough test for those still standing, with McIlroy's 17-under performance last year -- not counting starting strokes -- being the lowest winning score since 2017. The new format was adopted in 2019 to avoid having a winner of the tournament and a separate FedExCup Champion, and we haven't seen anyone starting outside the top 10 make up the deficit in strokes. A par-70 playing 7,346 yards, East Lake is a lengthy course, with the shortest par-3 being 197 yards and only three par-4s under 440 yards. Off the tee, players are faced with the narrowest fairways on Tour. They average less than 25 yards across and are surrounded by trees and challenging bermuda rough that make it difficult to find greens in regulation when hitting from off the fairway. Players will be forced to use driver most of the time and will see a lot of approach shots from 200 yards and up. As a result, I'm looking for quality ball strikers, good long iron players and those that avoid bogeys. 

En Fuego at East Lake

The following golfers, with a minimum of two appearances, have the lowest scoring average at East Lake since 2018.

  • Xander Schauffele : 67.3
  • Rory McIlroy : 67.6
  • Scottie Scheffler : 68.0
  • Jon Rahm : 68.3
  • Sungjae Im : 68.6

Schauffele has saved his best golf for the season-ending event, as he is one of only two players who averaged fewer than 68 strokes per round over the last five years. He took home the trophy in 2017, posted the lowest gross in 2020 and finished runner-up both that year and the year before. Schauffele comes into Atlanta off a T8 result in Chicago in which he finished third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. He will have some ground to make up, as he begins at 3-under par. Another player who has had success here is Rahm. He enters following two playoff events he'd like to forget, as he failed to finish top-30 in either one. Rahm has been struggling off the tee, even dealing with a two-way miss at times. He checks in at 8-1, and at only four strokes back he is one of only a handful of players likely to find the winner's circle. If he can get right at the right time he is in position to take home the FedEx Cup.

Trending Off the Tee

These players, on a per-round basis, gained the most strokes off the tee over their last 20 rounds.

  • Scottie Scheffler : 1.01
  • Rory McIlroy : 0.92
  • Max Homa : 0.87
  • Patrick Cantlay : 0.76
  • Corey Conners : 0.71

Driving prowess is key at East Lake, and Scheffler certainly has the goods there, ranking first in SG: Off-the-Tee, 29th in distance and 46th in accuracy. With a two-stroke advantage before even hitting a shot, it's easy to see why he is listed at a meager +140. Scheffler looked to be in position to win the BMW Championship until Hovland charged on the back nine to steal the victory. Nevertheless, Scheffler enters in excellent form, having led the field in both SG: Off-the-Tee and Approach last week. The other player who finds himself on both lists is the defending champion and second favorite, McIlroy. He's a three-time winner here and has twice won since the new format was instituted, posting the lowest gross total each time. Although he was sporadic off the tee in Chicago he still managed a fourth-place result.

TOUR Championship Bets: O utright Picks

Max Homa (14-1 Without Starting Strokes)

Homa made his TOUR Championship debut last year and sure seemed to like the course, as his 265 cumulative total was bested only by McIlroy and Im. He has played really well off the tee lately, with a combination of length and accuracy leading him to three consecutive top-10 results.

Tommy Fleetwood (25-1 Without Starting Strokes)

It sure would be exciting to see Fleetwood pick up his first PGA Tour victory at such a marquee event. Considering he's starting seven shots back, that will be easier said than done. As a result, I'll pivot to him posting the lowest gross score. He has played so well this year, finishing top-10 in over half of his last 13 starts. He hasn't played East Lake since 2019, but his all-around game makes him a contender almost anywhere.

T OUR Championship Bets: T op-5 Wagers

Wyndham Clark (5-1 With Starting Strokes)

East Lake can be a tough challenge for first-timers, but Clark has super length and isn't too wayward with the driver, which is a recipe for success here. He will be tied for sixth to start, so he doesn't have nearly as much ground to make up as others. 

Sungjae Im (9-1 With Starting Strokes)

Im will have to make a leap considering he's starting at just 2-under, but he did shoot 16-under here last year. After failing to post any notable results over the summer, he has come alive with back-to-back top-10s to start the playoffs.

T OUR Championship Bets: H ead-to-Head Matchups

Adam Schenk (-110) over Nick Taylor

I went 2-0 in matchups last week, and I'll try to end the season on a winning streak, albeit with just one pick this time around. I'm surprised Schenk isn't favored here. Neither golfer has played this venue before, but Schenk is longer and a slightly better iron player, and he has also fared better in the playoffs, besting Taylor the last two weeks and posting a T6 in Memphis. Taylor, meanwhile, has failed to post a top-15 since winning the RBC Canadian Open over two months ago.

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TOUR Championship odds preview: Three best bets, East Lake GC breakdown, and up to $1,850 in bonuses

  • Published: Aug. 23, 2023, 5:00 p.m.

FedEx St. Jude Championship Jon Rahm

Jon Rahm hits from the rough on the 12th hole during the second round of the St. Jude Championship golf tournament Friday, Aug. 11, 2023, in Memphis, Tenn. (AP Photo/George Walker IV)

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The 2023 PGA Tour season concludes this week with the TOUR Championship, as the top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings compete for a first-place finish, paying out at $18 million.

Below are three betting picks for the TOUR Championship, an overview of East Lake Golf Club, and a breakdown of the TOUR Championship’s modified scoring system. Each wager pairs best with our exclusive sportsbook promo codes, which land new users up to $1,850 in bonuses.

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What to know about East Lake Golf Club and TOUR Championship scoring overview

The Donald Ross-designed course located in Atlanta opened in 1904. East Lake has been the home of the TOUR Championship since the tournament began in 2004.

At 7,319 yards, the par-70 course is a tick longer than average. This makes power-hitting a premium at East Lake, as those who can drive the long ball with accuracy will be well-positioned to attack the pins.

The track challenges a golfer’s complete skillset, starting off with the tee boxes. East Lake has the most narrow fairways on Tour, causing many missed-fairway penalties.

East Lake is also top three in average par-3 length, three of which are over 200 yards. It also has six par-4s measuring over 450 yards, making long iron ball striking another advantage at the TOUR Championship.

East Lake Golf Club sports Bermuda roughs and greens, which truly penalize errant shots.

The 30-golfer field isn’t the only TOUR Championship oddity. To reward excellence in the regular season, players leading the FedEx Cup standings start the tournament under par. Here are the starting scores for the top five:

  • No. 1 Scottie Scheffler: -10
  • No. 2 Viktor Hovland: -8
  • No. 3 Rory McIlroy: -7
  • No. 4 Jon Rahm: -6
  • No. 5 Lucas Glover: -5

This trend continues until you reach the No. 26-30 players, who each start at even par. Despite the staggered scoring system, sportsbooks still offer odds on which golfer will shoot the lowest score removing the pre-tournament strokes.

TOUR Championship expert picks: Rory McIlroy to win ( +350 or better )

McIlroy started the 2022 TOUR Championship six strokes behind Scheffler but managed to eliminate the bonus strokes en route to victory. This year, Scottie only begins with a three-stroke lead over Rory, and history has a great chance of repeating itself.

McIlroy is playing the best golf of his 2023 campaign, finishing top 10 in nine straight events. Of those, three finishes were in the top five, including a victory at the Genesis Scottish Open.

The Northern Irishman only stands at 5-foot-10 but is number one on Tour in driving distance, second in SG: off the tee, and third in SG: approach to the green. Each attribute makes him perfect to take on East Lake GC and win back-to-back TOUR Championships.

McIlroy is also making his ninth TOUR Championship appearance, giving him more East Lake experience than any competitor.

TOUR Championship betting picks: Xander Schauffele to finish top 10 ( -115 or better )

Xander Schauffele’s No. 15 ranking in the FedEx Cup standings allows him to start the TOUR Championship at -3.

With East Lake Golf Club familiarity being of utmost importance, Schauffele is a player to note going into the tournament. The California native ranks first in SG: total at East Lake.

Schauffele won his TOUR Championship debut in 2017 and in six appearances, has never finished outside the top seven.

Over 30% of the approach shots taken this weekend are expected to come from 200+ yards, and Xander ranks fifth in SG: approach to green. His 68.9% green in regulation rate makes him a player to key in on this week.

TOUR Championship best bets: Collin Morikawa head-to-head vs. Tony Finau ( -165 or better )

Collin Morikawa begins the TOUR Championship at -1, while Tony Finau tees off at -2.

Morikawa’s ability to attack the pin makes him a favorable option against Finau, especially considering East Lake Golf Club’s above-average length. The 26-year-old ranks second in SG: approach to green and 12th on approach shots from 225-250 yards.

Morikawa has also been money from short range with the flat stick, making 100% of his putts from within three feet.

Finau has struggled recently, notching just one top-10 finish in his previous 10 events. Look for Morikawa to overcome the one-shot pre-tournament deficit and pass Finau on the leaderboard.

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2023 tour championship odds, course history and picks to win, share this article.

tour championship betting preview

We’ve arrived at the final event of the 2022-23 PGA Tour season, the Tour Championship at East Lake in Atlanta. The top 30 in the point standings have made their way to the ATL ready to battle for the $18 million FedEx Cup bonus awarded to the winner.

After his co-runner-up finish at the BMW Championship, world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler will begin the tournament at 10 under, two shots clear of the man in the No. 2 spot, Viktor Hovland. Rory McIlroy, who has now finished T-9 or better in nine straight starts after a solo fourth at Olympia Fields, will begin three back at 7 under, while Jon Rahm starts at 6 under.

McIlroy chased down Scheffler last year to claim his third FedEx Cup, the only player who has achieved that feat (Tiger Woods and McIlroy are the only two players to win it more than once).

Golf course

East Lake Golf Club | Par 70 | 7,346 yards

2022 Tour Championship

Xander Schauffele on the 18th hole during the first round of the 2022 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. (Photo: Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Course history

Course history at East Lake GC for the #TourChampionship going back to 2015. -Includes average finish position WITHOUT STROKES ADDED and Strokes Gained per round in each category. Players are sorted by SG: Total. For downloadable sheets each week, get access to all of my data… pic.twitter.com/ZUbnTEfuuJ — Ron Klos (@PGASplits101) August 21, 2023

Betting preview

Staggered-start leaderboard, odds (including starting strokes), xander schauffele (+900, without starting strokes).

2023 BMW Championship

Xander Schauffele of the United States looks on during a practice round prior to the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club on August 16, 2023, in Olympia Fields, Illinois. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)

Schauffele will tee off Thursday seven shots behind Scheffler. It’s tough to see any scenario where he catches the Texan. However, most sportsbooks will have a “Winner without starting strokes” category.

This is where we can grab Schauffele.

In four appearances since the staggered start was introduced, Schauffele has finished 2nd (’19), 1st (’20), 3rd (’21) and 6th (’22) at East Lake without the strokes applied.

Long story short, this man dominates East Lake. You gotta have him on your card somewhere this week.

Rory McIlroy (+330)

2023 BMW Championship

Rory McIlroy tees off from the second tee during the first round of the BMW Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports

Yes, I pick him every week. Get over it.

Since the staggered start began in 2019, McIlroy has won the event twice (’19 and ’22 without the strokes applied) and won the FedEx Cup both times.

He’ll begin three shots back, but McIlroy is used to chasing in Atlanta. In 2019, he started five back, and last year he began six back.

Max Homa (+1400, without starting strokes)

2023 BMW Championship

Max Homa of the United States plays his shot from the seventh tee during the second round of the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club on August 18, 2023, in Olympia Fields, Illinois. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)

Homa finished third (without the starting strokes) at the 2022 Tour Championship, his first trip to East Lake.

He’s in great form, finishing T-6 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and T-5 at the BMW Championship in his last two starts.

Like with the Schauffele pick, Homa is probably starting too far back (4 under) to love him outright. However, his odds are 14/1 without the starting strokes. Love that for the card.

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The DP World Tour Championship betting preview: Odds, predictions and tips

Matt Cooper

  • Published : 15:59, 14 Nov 2023
  • Updated : 15:59, 14 Nov 2023

It’s the final tournament of the 2023 DP World Tour season and the Earth Course in Dubai is set for another week of world-class action and drama.

DP World Tour Championship odds

Odds with Spreadex :

  • Rory McIlroy 5/1
  • Viktor Hovland 11/2
  • Jon Rahm 11/2
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 12/1
  • Tyrrell Hatton 12/1
  • Tommy Fleetwood 14/1
  • Tom Kim 14/1
  • Min Woo Lee 18/1
  • Nicolai Hojgaard 25/1
  • Adrian Meronk 28/1

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DP World Tour Championship betting preview

Unlike the PGA Tour’s FedExCup contrived finale, the DP World Tour heads into its Tour Championship knowing that the Race to Dubai rankings have already been won by Rory McIlroy.

It really doesn’t distract too much from this week’s action, however, which promises to be a thrilling celebration of the best of European golf.

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Two-time tournament winner McIlroy is closely followed in the betting by three-time champion Jon Rahm and young hot shot Viktor Hovland who is yet to lift the trophy but surely has the game to do so.

Matt Fitzpatrick is yet another two-time winner of the event and he is joined by fellow Englishmen Tommy Fleetwood and Tyrrell Hatton in hoping to chase down the favourites.

DP World Tour Championship betting tips. 18+ BeGambleAware.org Please play responsibly.

DP World Tour Championship betting tips

Find some of the best picks for the DP World Tour Championship.

🏌️‍♂️ Matt Fitzpatrick each way

Last year’s US Open champion loves playing this event because the course is an ideal fit for him.

He was fourth on debut in 2015, claimed victory in 2016 and was the halfway leader on defence in 2017.

A year later he finished outside the top 12 for the first and only time in eight starts, but was soon back in the saddle.

He was ninth in 2019, winner for a second time in 2020, runner-up in 2021 and fifth last year.

He hasn’t been seen in action since starring in the Ryder Cup and winning the Dunhill Links Championship in consecutive weeks but he’s not alone among the favourites in having had time off.

⛳ Take Matt Fitzpatrick each way with bet365 offering 12/1 for five places ⛳

🏌️‍♂️ Adrian Meronk each way

The Earth Course demands supreme ball-striking and high quality driving of the ball in particular.

Those are the exact qualities that have helped the Pole Adrian Meronk win three times this season and he also used those skills to finish seventh in the tournament last year.

He’s also finished eighth at Jumeirah’s Fire Course and 11th at Al Mouj in Oman - both of them Greg Norman designs like the Earth Course.

He won just two starts ago in Spain and contending again is well within his scope.

The course suits him, he’s ranked third in the Race to Dubai and he remains motivated to remind everyone what he could have added to the Ryder Cup cause

⛳ Take Adrian Meronk each-way at 30/1 with 888Sport ⛳

🏌️‍♂️ Thorbjorn Olesen to beat Sepp Straka in a matchbet

As mentioned, the Earth Course is a Greg Norman creation and down the years the Austrian Sepp Straka has struggled to find his best game when playing on them.

He’s teed it up nine times on three different layouts, has just one top 30 finish and even that was only 22nd.

In contrast, the Dane Thorbjorn Olesen has 10 top 30s from 12 starts on Norman courses and seven of them were top 20s.

On the Earth Course alone Olesen has seven top 30s in nine starts while Straka makes a course debut this week.

⛳ Back the Dane at 10/11 with Spreadex ⛳

How to watch the DP World Tour Championship

  • Venue: The Earth Course, Jumeirah, Dubai
  • Date: Thursday 16th November - Sunday 19th November
  • Broadcast:  Full coverage on Sky Sports Golf: Thursday, Friday & Saturday 7.00 am - 1.00 pm, Sunday 6.30 am - 12.30 pm

About the author

tour championship betting preview

Matt Cooper has been a golf journalist for 15 years. He's worked for, among others, Golf365, SkySports, ESPN, NBC, Sporting Life, Open.com and the Guardian. He specialises in feature writing, reporting and tournament analysis. He's covered numerous Opens, Ryder Cups and Solheim Cups, and travelled to golfing destinations as varied as Kazakhstan, South Korea, Seychelles, Sri Lanka and Nepal.

Find Matt on Twitter @MattCooperGolf

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2024 valero texas open odds, picks and pga tour predictions, share this article.

tour championship betting preview

Players will have one last chance to tune their game before the Masters this week at the 2024 Valero Texas Open , which is once again being held at TPC San Antonio. Corey Conners will look to defend his title after winning the event last year with a score of 15-under par.

Below, we look at the 2024 Valero Texas Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions .

Rory McIlroy typically doesn’t play the week before the Masters but he’s in the Texas Open field this year and the betting favorite to win at +1000. Ludvig Aberg (+1200), Hideki Matsuyama (+1800) and Collin Morikawa (+2500) are among the other big names teeing it up this week.

TPC San Antonio is a par 72 and plays at 7,438 yards with very little elevation change throughout the course. It’s not an overly challenging course, with the winning score being between 11-under and 20-under par over the last 8 years. However, if the wind picks up it will have a big impact on scoring.

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Valero Texas Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:53 p.m. ET.

Ludvig Aberg (+1200)

Aberg is only in his 1st full season on the PGA Tour, but he’s already one of the best ball strikers in the world and that’s highly advantageous on this course. He ranks 24th in strokes gained: tee-to-green this season and his putting isn’t holding him back too much (57th in SG), so he’s a perfect fit for TPC San Antonio, even after missing the cut here last year.

Corey Conners (+2200)

It’s always hard to expect the defending champion to win in back-to-back years but Conners’ course history and ball-striking prowess make him too good to ignore. He’s won here twice since 2019 (his only 2 PGA wins)  and hasn’t finished worse than 35th in his last 5 starts in this event, using his stellar iron play to propel him to 2 victories.

Valero Texas Open picks – Contenders

Keith mitchell (+5500).

After blowing a 54-hole lead at the Valspar Championship 2 weeks ago, Mitchell missed the cut at the Texas Children’s Houston Open over the weekend after finishing 3-over in his last 5 holes to miss it by 1 shot. He’s still among the best players on tour from tee to green, ranking 8th in strokes gained, and he’s finished 17th and 26th in 2 starts here during his career. He’s due for a bounce-back.

Erik van Rooyen (+6600)

van Rooyen has not been good around the greens this season, which is holding him back from contending more, but he’s 48th on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green and 19th total. Before he missed the cut at the Players Championship, he finished 8th, 2nd and 25th in 3 consecutive tournaments.

Valero Texas Open picks – Long shots

Ryan moore (+10000).

Moore is quietly playing well right now, finishing 31st, 5th and 45th in his last 3 starts. Impressively, he’s 12th in SG: tee-to-green, including 4th in approach, but his putting has been horrific (173rd). TPC San Antonio is more about ball striking than putting, which has helped him finish in the top 10 twice before, so he’s a worthy long shot this week.

Matt Kuchar (+12500)

Kuchar has finished 3rd, 2nd, 12th and 7th in his last 4 starts at this tournament, an event he plays every year. Looking at his stats from this season gives you pause when it comes to betting him because he isn’t playing well (6 missed cuts in 8 starts), but it’s hard to ignore his recent finishes at TPC San Antonio.

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Wyndham Clark tees off on 7th hole during the final round of The Players Championship.

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2024 Valero Texas Open one and done picks, sleepers, field: PGA Tour predictions, expert golf betting advice

Mike mcclure locked in his expert pga one and done golf picks, projected leaderboard, and sleepers for the valero texas open 2024 at the oaks course at tpc san antonio.

usatsi-hideki-matsuyama-cbs.jpg

The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in the Lone Star State with the 2024 Valero Texas Open set to tee off on Thursday at the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio. Several big name players will be in the 2024 Valero Texas Open field and looking to make their final preparations for the 2024 Masters. World No. 2 Rory McIlroy is the 15-2 betting favorite in the latest 2024 Valero Texas Open odds. Other top contenders in the field include Ludvig Åberg (12-1), Hideki Matsuyama (18-1), Max Homa (18-1), Jordan Spieth (18-1), Collin Morikawa (20-1), Corey Conners (22-1), and Matt Fitzpatrick (25-1). The 2024 Valero Texas Open purse is $9.2 million, with the winner taking home $1.66 million. The winner of this event will earn 500 FedEx Cup points. 

With several players making their final push in their Masters preparation, would this be a good week to fade the betting favorites in One and Done pools? Or would Conners, who has won this tournament twice in four years, be a better play? Before locking in your 2024 Valero Texas Open one and done picks, you need to see what SportsLine DFS pro and PGA expert Mike McClure has to say . 

The One and Done format is growing in popularity. It has several noticeable similarities to NFL Survivor pools, with the main difference being entries are not eliminated with a bad week. Players pick one golfer per week and earn points based on their selected golfer's prize money for that tournament. Golfers can only be used once per season, and the point format makes nailing majors, signature events, and big money tournaments critical.

McClure is a DFS legend with over $2 million in career winnings, and he's been red-hot on his PGA picks dating back to the PGA Tour restart in June of 2020. McClure uses his proprietary simulation model to analyze the field and crush his  golf picks .

McClure has been on fire with his One and Done picks in 2024. At The American Express he backed Justin Thomas, who finished in third place and took home $635,600. At the Genesis Invitational, McClure tabbed Patrick Cantlay, who finished in fourth place at the signature event, as his top OAD pick. At the Cognizant Classic, McClure's top one and done pick, Min Woo Lee, finished in a tie for second place. Finally, at the Arnold Palmer Invitation, another signature event, McClure recommended using Scottie Scheffler and Will Zalatoris. The Result: Scheffler won the event by five strokes, and Zalatoris finished in fourth place.

His hot steak continued at the Players Championship, where McClure again recommended using Scheffler (if was still available) and Xander Schauffele. Both players were in contention until the end, with Scheffler coming out with the win and Schauffele finishing in second place. Then, at the Valspar Championship, McClure recommended using Cameron Young, who finished in second place, in OAD pools.

Now, McClure has dialed in on the Valero Texas Open golf tournament and just locked in his one and done picks and PGA predictions. They are a must-see for any player looking for an edge in their One and Done pool. You can only see McClure's Valero Texas Open 2024 one and done picks at SportsLine .

Top 2024 Valero Texas Open One and Done picks

One of McClure's favorite One and Done plays this week for the Texas Open is PGA Tour veteran Hideki Matsuyama. The 2021 Masters champion has played well in 2024, notching an outright win at The Genesis Invitational followed by a 12th place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a sixth place finish at The Players Championship. Matsuyama enters the week with nine career PGA Tour wins. 

The 32-year-old has climbed to No. 14 in the Official World Golf Ranking and is a threat to win any tournament he enters. Matsuyama enters this week ranked first on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green (0.674), fourth in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.360), and 15th in total strokes gained (0.981). With the Valero Texas Open field being deep and full of elite talent, McClure expects Matsuyama to be in top form.  You can see who else to back at SportsLine .

How to make Valero Texas Open 2024 One and Done picks

McClure is also targeting another golfer for his 2024 Valero Texas Open one and done picks who has a long track record of success against elite competition. This former major championship winner has the ability to win any tournament he enters, and is one of the most talented golfers in this field. You can find out who it is, and check out all of McClure's Valero Texas Open one and done picks at SportsLine .

Who wins the the Valero Texas Open 2024, and which golfers should you target for your PGA one and done picks this week at TPC San Antonio? Visit SportsLine now to get Mike McClure's Valero Texas Open 2024 one and done picks, all from the DFS pro who called Nick Taylor's epic win at the RBC Canadian Open, Rickie Fowler's win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in 2023, and Scottie Scheffler's win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational , and find out.

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2024 Masters odds, picks, field, predictions: Golf insider avoiding Rory McIlroy at Augusta National

Sia nejad reveals his masters 2024 picks, props and sleepers with an elite field set to tee off at augusta national golf club on thursday, april 11.

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Xander Schauffele will continue the quest for his first major win when he competes at the 2024 Masters starting Thursday, April 11 at Augusta National Golf Club. The San Diego native is one of the hottest golfers on the PGA Tour circuit right now, finishing in the top 10 in six of his eight starts so far this season, including a runner-up at the Players Championship. Schauffele finished that event one stroke behind Scottie Scheffler and is now a 24-1 long shot in the latest 2024 Masters odds, while the world No. 1 is the favorite at 5-1. Since Schauffele finished second at Augusta in 2019 and third in 2021, do you trust him to be better than his odds entail ahead of the Masters 2024?

Rory McIlroy, who is also shooting for his first green jacket, is 10-1 on the PGA odds board, while defending Masters champion Jon Rahm is 13-1. Before locking in any 2024 Masters picks, make sure you see the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad .

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He's had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets as well as betting head-to-head matchups. He's been profitable with his head-to-head matchups since last year's Charles Schwab Challenge, going 35-21-2 and returning 10.00 units. That's a $1,000 profit for $100 bettors since May 2023.

Nejad also nailed 75-1 longshot Wyndham Clark as the outright winner at the Wells Fargo Championship. In 2023, SportsLine debuted "The Early Wedge," and in the first three months of the show, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners.

Now, Nejad has focused his attention on the 2024 Masters field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. See who they are at SportsLine .

Top 2024 Masters expert picks

One surprise: Nejad is completely fading Rory McIlroy, even though he's a four-time major champion and one of the top favorites in the 2024 Masters odds. McIlroy has been trying to achieve the career grand slam since 2014, when he won the PGA Championship and Open Championship. However, he has not won a major title since, and the pressure continues to mount heading into the first major of 2024.

McIlroy has missed the cut in two of his last three appearances at Augusta National, and he is not in strong form this season. He has not cracked the top 15 in any of his five tournaments this year, ranking outside the top 95 on the PGA Tour in scoring average. Nejad cannot justify backing McIlroy as one of the favorites for the Masters 2024, especially since the 34-year-old is dealing with extraordinary pressure. 

Instead, Nejad is high on the chances of Hideki Matsuyama, even though he's a +2800 longshot. The 32-year-old won a green jacket in 2021 and will be hungry to get back to the top of the leaderboard after finishing 14th and 16th in his next two starts at Augusta National. After dealing with nagging injuries at the end of last season, Matsuyama is off to a strong start in 2024 and has two top-10 finishes over his last three starts, including a win at the Genesis Invitational. He also ranks 13th on Tour in total strokes gained (0.981).

"His Masters history is excellent and he's done it by showcasing elite ball striking," Nejad told SportsLine. "He's also starting to trend very well in the short game department and appears to have shaken off whatever nagging injuries ailed him over the last year."  See who else to back at SportsLine .

How to make 2024 Masters picks

Nejad has locked in his early best bets for the 2024 Masters and is backing several longshots, including one priced at more than 150-1. This player "has been playing well in 2024 and has a decent track record at the Masters."  You can see Nejad's PGA Tour picks only at SportsLine .

So, which players should you target or avoid for the 2024 Masters, and which player in the Masters 2024 field could bring a huge payday at more than 150-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad's top picks for the 2024 Masters, all from the expert who is 35-21 on golf head-to-head picks .

2024 Masters odds, field

See Nejad's picks, best bets and predictions here

Scottie Scheffler +500 Rory McIlroy +1000 Jon Rahm +1300 Brooks Koepka +2100 Jordan Spieth +2100 Will Zalatoris +2100 Viktor Hovland +2100 Xander Schauffele +2400 Ludvig Aberg +2400 Patrick Cantlay +2800 Justin Thomas +2800 Hideki Matsuyama +2800 Cameron Smith +3100 Collin Morikawa +3100 Joaquin Niemann +3100 Wyndham Clark +3100 Matt Fitzpatrick +3600 Dustin Johnson +3600 Tony Finau +4400 Max Homa +4400 Brian Harman +4600 Shane Lowry +4600 Cameron Young +4600 Jason Day +4600 Bryson DeChambeau +4600 Sam Burns +5500 Min Woo Lee +5500 Sahith Theegala +5500 Tommy Fleetwood +5500 Sung-Jae Im +7500 Tyrrell Hatton +7500 Corey Conners +9000 Justin Rose +9000 Patrick Reed +9000 Tom Kim +12000 Russell Henley +12000 Adam Scott +12000 Rickie Fowler +12000 Jake Knapp +12000 Phil Mickelson +16000 Harris English +16000 Sergio Garcia +16000 Tiger Woods +16000 Gary Woodland +19000 Keegan Bradley +19000 Si Woo Kim +19000 Chris Kirk +19000 Ryan Fox +19000 J.T. Poston +19000 Nick Dunlap +19000 Cameron Davis +19000 Thorbjorn Olesen +19000 Adrian Meronk +19000 Sepp Straka +19000 Nick Taylor +19000 Eric Cole +19000 Matthieu Pavon +19000 Emiliano Grillo +19000 Nicolai Hojgaard +19000 Luke List +21000 Adam Hadwin +21000 Charl Schwartzel +28000 Kurt Kitayama +28000 Bubba Watson +28000 Ryo Hisatsune +28000 Erik van Rooyen +28000

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DraftKings preview: Valero Texas Open

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The PGA TOUR stays in Texas for another week for the Valero Texas Open. TPC San Antonio will be the host and measures as a 7,438-yard par 72 with Poa trivialis over-seeded greens.

Despite this being one week before the Masters Tournament, the field for this event is strong. Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa and Max Homa will all tee it up this week, along with defending champion Corey Conners.

Below, I have outlined three of my favorite DraftKings plays for the week.

Corey Conners ($9,400)

With some bigger names in the field this week, some may overlook Conners, even though he’s the defending champion and a two-time winner of this event. The Canadian has had a steady start to the 2024 season without missing a cut but posting zero top-10 finishes on the year.

Things have heated up recently, though, having finished T18 and T13 in his last two starts at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard and THE PLAYERS Championship, respectively. Only Keith Mitchell ranks higher in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking than Conners over the past 24 rounds, and only Mitchell and Victor Perez sit higher in SG: Approach in the same timeframe.

Conners’ history around TPC San Antonio is well-documented, as he won this event last year and in 2019 while finishing no worse than T35 in his other three starts. You could make the argument, based on his recent form and course history, that Conners should be about $1,000 more expensive than he is this week, so I will gladly take the discount here.

Billy Horschel ($8,900)

After a difficult 2023 season, Horschel has rediscovered his game to begin this year. He finished T7 last week at the Texas Children's Houston Open, which came on the heels of a T12 at Valspar and T9 at the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches. Over his past 16 rounds, Horschel ranks 11th in this field in SG: Tee-to-Green and third in Total Strokes Gained, trailing only Hideki Matsuyama and Ludvig Åberg.

It’s been the ball-striking that’s caught fire for Horschel, as he’s gained 3.8 or more strokes in that department in three of his past four starts. In addition to his strong recent form, Horschel has an elite course history at TPC San Antonio, having posted three top-four finishes and a T11 across seven starts this decade.

Horschel is rolling right now and has deservedly got a bit of a price bump because of it, but remains a good play nonetheless.

Lucas Glover ($7,300)

After losing strokes putting in pretty much every event he’s played this season, Glover finally gained on the greens at the Valspar Championship in his last start. Hopefully, he can continue that this week at the Valero, because we know his elite tee-to-green game will be there. Glover ranks seventh in this field in that department over the past 48 rounds, including sitting third in SG: Approach in the same time frame. We caught a glimpse last summer of what happens when Glover putts well: He wins. Twice in a row, in fact. Glover jumped back into the winner's circle last year by notching victories at the Wyndham Championship and FedEx St. Jude Championship.

As for his prospects this week, Glover is quite familiar with TPC San Antonio, having made five career starts here with two top-18s and a T4 in that stretch. Among golfers who have played this course more than once, only Jordan Spieth, Conners and Byeong Hun An have averaged more SG: Tee-to-Green per round than Glover.

Glover has finished T35 or better in four of his past five starts, with a T11 at Innisbrook his last time out. He offers safety here at this $7,300 price tag.

Set your DraftKings fantasy golf lineups here: PGA TOUR $700K Pitch + Putt [$200K to 1st]

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2024 Valero Texas Open one and done picks, sleepers, field: PGA Tour predictions, expert golf betting advice

T he PGA Tour schedule continues this week in the Lone Star State with the 2024 Valero Texas Open set to tee off on Thursday at the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio. Several big name players will be in the 2024 Valero Texas Open field and looking to make their final preparations for the 2024 Masters. World No. 2 Rory McIlroy is the 15-2 betting favorite in the latest 2024 Valero Texas Open odds. Other top contenders in the field include Ludvig Åberg (12-1), Hideki Matsuyama (18-1), Max Homa (18-1), Jordan Spieth (18-1), Collin Morikawa (20-1), Corey Conners (22-1), and Matt Fitzpatrick (25-1). The 2024 Valero Texas Open purse is $9.2 million, with the winner taking home $1.66 million. The winner of this event will earn 500 FedEx Cup points. 

With several players making their final push in their Masters preparation, would this be a good week to fade the betting favorites in One and Done pools? Or would Conners, who has won this tournament twice in four years, be a better play? Before locking in your 2024 Valero Texas Open one and done picks, you need to see what SportsLine DFS pro and PGA expert Mike McClure has to say . 

The One and Done format is growing in popularity. It has several noticeable similarities to NFL Survivor pools, with the main difference being entries are not eliminated with a bad week. Players pick one golfer per week and earn points based on their selected golfer's prize money for that tournament. Golfers can only be used once per season, and the point format makes nailing majors, signature events, and big money tournaments critical.

McClure is a DFS legend with over $2 million in career winnings, and he's been red-hot on his PGA picks dating back to the PGA Tour restart in June of 2020. McClure uses his proprietary simulation model to analyze the field and crush his  golf picks .

McClure has been on fire with his One and Done picks in 2024. At The American Express he backed Justin Thomas, who finished in third place and took home $635,600. At the Genesis Invitational, McClure tabbed Patrick Cantlay, who finished in fourth place at the signature event, as his top OAD pick. At the Cognizant Classic, McClure's top one and done pick, Min Woo Lee, finished in a tie for second place. Finally, at the Arnold Palmer Invitation, another signature event, McClure recommended using Scottie Scheffler and Will Zalatoris. The Result: Scheffler won the event by five strokes, and Zalatoris finished in fourth place.

His hot steak continued at the Players Championship, where McClure again recommended using Scheffler (if was still available) and Xander Schauffele. Both players were in contention until the end, with Scheffler coming out with the win and Schauffele finishing in second place. Then, at the Valspar Championship, McClure recommended using Cameron Young, who finished in second place, in OAD pools.

Now, McClure has dialed in on the Valero Texas Open golf tournament and just locked in his one and done picks and PGA predictions. They are a must-see for any player looking for an edge in their One and Done pool. You can only see McClure's Valero Texas Open 2024 one and done picks at SportsLine .

Top 2024 Valero Texas Open One and Done picks

One of McClure's favorite One and Done plays this week for the Texas Open is PGA Tour veteran Hideki Matsuyama. The 2021 Masters champion has played well in 2024, notching an outright win at The Genesis Invitational followed by a 12th place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a sixth place finish at The Players Championship. Matsuyama enters the week with nine career PGA Tour wins. 

The 32-year-old has climbed to No. 14 in the Official World Golf Ranking and is a threat to win any tournament he enters. Matsuyama enters this week ranked first on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green (0.674), fourth in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.360), and 15th in total strokes gained (0.981). With the Valero Texas Open field being deep and full of elite talent, McClure expects Matsuyama to be in top form.  You can see who else to back at SportsLine .

How to make Valero Texas Open 2024 One and Done picks

McClure is also targeting another golfer for his 2024 Valero Texas Open one and done picks who has a long track record of success against elite competition. This former major championship winner has the ability to win any tournament he enters, and is one of the most talented golfers in this field. You can find out who it is, and check out all of McClure's Valero Texas Open one and done picks at SportsLine .

Who wins the the Valero Texas Open 2024, and which golfers should you target for your PGA one and done picks this week at TPC San Antonio? Visit SportsLine now to get Mike McClure's Valero Texas Open 2024 one and done picks, all from the DFS pro who called Nick Taylor's epic win at the RBC Canadian Open, Rickie Fowler's win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in 2023, and Scottie Scheffler's win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational , and find out.

May 17, 2019; Bethpage, NY, USA; Bubba Watson plays his shot from the sixth tee during the second round of the PGA Championship golf tournament at Bethpage State Park - Black Course.

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  24. 2024 Valero Texas Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

    Players will have one last chance to tune their game before the Masters this week at the 2024 Valero Texas Open, which is once again being held at TPC San Antonio.Corey Conners will look to defend his title after winning the event last year with a score of 15-under par.. Below, we look at the 2024 Valero Texas Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

  25. 2024 Valero Texas Open one and done picks, sleepers, field: PGA Tour

    The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in the Lone Star State with the 2024 Valero Texas Open set to tee off on Thursday at the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio. ... World No. 2 Rory McIlroy is the 15-2 betting favorite in the latest 2024 Valero Texas Open odds. ... His hot steak continued at the Players Championship, where McClure again ...

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    Matsuyama enters this week ranked first on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green (0.674), fourth in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.360), and 15th in total strokes gained (0.981).